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October 4, 2009

Gov't Regulation and Lack of Follow Through:

There's a story everyone should read in the New York Times. It is about a young woman, paralyzed from the waist down, as a result of e. coli tainted hamburger.

This is a rare, but violent case, in an industry under-regulated, and heavily protected by the wealth of the industry that cares more about providing us cheap beef than safety. A few years ago, a best seller [Fast Food Nation] detailed the problems in the beef industry, but illustrates what happens when an industry provides its own regulation, and government inspection isn't adequately funded.

This shouldn't be a liberal/conservative issue. This is our health - how much of a guaranty do you have that in a restaurant, or even in your own home, that the cook has killed the bacteria in cooking? What price do we pay when we don't adequately regulate business?

Do we prohibit litigation ["tort reform" as always proposed by business] so that industry does not pay the full price for its conduct - if you listen to the business community, the free market should control everything, except penalties for the damage it causes - sort of like corporate bailouts for the consequences of their gambling.

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August 7, 2009

Self-Employment, Health Insurance, and the Gov't....

As noted below on this blog, I provide health insurance for my staff because i care about their health, about them as people, and their productivity. I am concerned about the growing cost of health care, in part for that reason. I am also concerned because my health care and that of my spouse keep going up.

Last year, we changed our office policy to Costco, because it cut our rates substantially, even though the insurance comes from the same company I had before - apparently there is enough profit in health insurance that Costco can make something, yet the health insurance carrier [the same one we'd been using] makes a profit, and can still cut my costs. Anyway, last year, by changing policies, slightly increasing the co-pay by another $5, and our cost went up slightly - otherwise, it was scheduled to go up about 15% .

One year later, on our policy anniversary date, our rates will go up about 25% from that. Of all the wackadoodles who complain that a government policy or health coverage will raise their taxes or the deficit, I wonder how many have considered the rapid increase in insurance costs - from the looks of many of the loudest protesters, they are covered by Medicare, a government program they'd fight to the death to keep.

At 15% per year, health care costs will double every 5 years. At 25% [this year's increase], it will double every 3 years. The average is somewhere in between, we hope. The cost of health care and insurance is rising at least 5 times as fast as wages and earnings.

Total health insurance funded by my family will cost about about $26,000 this year, covering 6 people, aged 12 to 66, one of whom is covered by Medicare, so prior years' taxes cover part of the cost. Part of that is paid by my wife's employer, but it ultimately comes out of the money available to pay her a higher salary, just as more the cost of insurance for my employees limits what I can afford to pay them.

Health cost is in crisis because of these rapid increases that seem to be accelerating. Between 1/7th and 1/6th of the nation's economy goes to health care - and we don't have the best health care in the world despite the unsupported assertions of the opponents of reform. It is time to wake up people, and fix a broken system.

Tax breaks, or buying insurance from "out of state" companies that aren't regulated, isn't the answer. We need to get out from under the hundreds of billions of dollars spent by the health care industry [drug makers, health insurance, etc.] on things that aren't necessary [advertising, manipulating doctors, profits, huge bonuses, etc.], and vote for substantial changes. When we here that Medicare is rife with fraud, what we don't consider is that the fraud is perpetrated by capitalists [doctors, pharmacists, insurance companies] who are bilking the government system - it isn't the system that is corrupt, its the private sector.

Proposed reform isn't socialism, it's self-preservation. Our auto industry can't compete with the Japanese, in large part because it provides health insurance. Our small businesses are being eaten alive by health insurance costs. Nothing is working but the system of lobbyists bribing our elected representatives. We are being scared by fears of a socialist government, but if you ask people they think that means Communism, as in the USSR - they don't realize that the postal service, police, schools, Medicare, and national parks are all government owned businesses. We, as a society, are so far from socialism that the risk that our government will own most aspects of our economy is merely a myth, designed to scare us into submission.

The "socialism" we are lead to fear is a communist system, where everyone [in theory] earns the same no matter how hard they work, how much they save, how they sacrifice, and how much they create. A tax rate of 50% doesn't stifle competition, hard work, or imagination. In the 1950's, the top Federal tax bracket was 90%. We lowered it to 70%, yet that plus state and local taxes, didn't keep us from making us the most inventive country in the world, or the most economically successful.

Yes, we have taxes that are unfair - all taxes are unfair. The goal is to find a mix between paying for government and not eliminating our desires to improve our economic positions and be more successful than those around us, or our parents. The cost of health care really can't enter into the discussion - it is a problem that needs to be solved and none of the solutions offered by the right are designed to solve that problem. Using tax policy [deductions, credits, etc.] makes taxation more complex and doesn't directly attack the problem - it just ties into the idea that any tax is bad if it hits people with the money to pay it.

Yes, I don't like high taxes, but I also don't like health care costs out of control - does it matter where my money goes? Not really. If the government can get the rapidly rising costs under control, I'm for it - maybe that requires government health care, or maybe it only requires government competition. One way or the other, the problem needs to be fixed.

I am celebrating my 45 year as a registered Republican, but the party is trying my patience. I survived the Bush years, although in some financial disarray to my retirement accounts, but I expect Republicans to be reasonable - I'm about to publically recognize their drive for power makes reasonable thought impossible.

Capitalistic theory operates on the assumption that society advances economically when we are allowed to be rewarded for hard work and inventiveness. The Chinese seem to understand that lesson. What Teddy Roosevelt understood more than 100 years ago, however, is that unregulated capitalism leads to boom and bust cycles, aggressive monopolies, and periodic economic and social disruption. He tried to fight this battle with William Howard Taft, but lost to party politics and big money when he tried to start a 3rd party to do so.

Throughout the 19th Century [the 1800's for some of you], and into the first 30 years of the 20th, we largely had unregulated capitalism, banking, and investing. Every 10 to 15 years there were huge recessions or depressions. The Great Depression started regulation started by Teddy Roosevelt, and the lessons learned sustained those regulations for the next 70 years. The next 75 years, we have had recessions, but nothing like what lack of regulation had produced before. The current recession was headed to Depression until the government realized we need to solve the banking crisis and prime the pump - even George Bush recognized this need, and started the process.

Somewhere, there has to be a mix: Government intervention and control to permit capitalism to flourish without the havoc it is prone to create when it isn't controlled.

The Bush Administration taught us several good lessons: Don't appoint your friends to make decisions just because they are your friends, don't appoint people to positions governing who believe there should be no government, and open government so what it does is transparent - oh, and don't let the regulated draft the regulations.

Now if that sounds like the ravings of a liberal, I'm sorry, but I don't think I've changed that much since I supported Barry Goldwater 45 years ago - the arguments of the conservatives then aren't recognizable to conservatives today. That wing of society has gone over the edge.

Gone are the Republicans like Dwight D. Eisenhower, Teddy Roosevelt, Nelson Rockefeller, Jacob Javits, Everett Dirksen, and others, who didn't want government controlling our daily lives, but understood it served a purpose - in part to protect us from foreign enemies, and in part to provide services it could provide more effectively, more fairly, or more economically, than private industry driven by the profit motive or the need to create economic empires, irrespective of the impact on society.

General Motors has long known it couldn't continue to pay for health care for its employees and retirees, still build cars here and still complete against cars made in strange foreign cultures, like Canada. Part of the imbalance causing our present health crisis is that General Motors shouldn't be in the health care industry, competing against companies like Toyota that aren't. As an employer, I shouldn't be in that industry either.

If Republicans care about their country, as we claim, we need to participate in a process to effectively bring health care costs under control. At present, it looks like we are just trying to repeat our rhetoric [government bad, tax cuts good, pure capitalism perfect], and seeking to regain power. How much more effective could our elected representatives appear if they seemed to be part of the solution, rather than the problem? Trying to take advantage of those simpletons who think Obama isn't an American, or that Congress will pass legislation to kill old people, is a way of gaining power, but not of fixing the problems of society.

What the Conservatives are forcing on us is a 51% majority in Congress cramming a health system down our throats that we will be stuck with forever - wake up, quit trying to scare us all, and solve the problem. It's time for both sides to get together to solve the problem, and quit telling us we are going to be killing grandma. Otherwise, you won't like the solution.

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July 26, 2009

Police, Overreaction, Race, and Politics....

The recent story of Prof. Gates and the Cambridge cop has been blown all out of proportion by the media, trying to make it a racial issue to further divide Democrats from Republicans. I agree with the President that the cop did something stupid - it's not a racial issue, just an overreaction to a fairly minor incident, and the President didn't assert it was anything else. [Perhaps the stupidity was in the mouth of the "journalist" who asked his opinion in the first place, during a press conference on health insurance.] The professor probably acted stupidly as well, but we'll never know what really happened.

A similar problem occurred in Cardiff [coastal San Diego County] a few weeks ago where a woman about 67 was wrestled to the ground and handcuffed, after apparently refusing to tell a cop her date of birth - he'd come to her house with a helicopter and about 7 squad cars on a noise complaint about 9:00 p.m. in the evening - the noise was an amplified speech by a female candidate for Congress, speaking at a fund raiser in a residential neighborhood.

The woman was offended by the cop's attitude, and attempted to shoo him off by saying "you know where I live and my name, why do you need my date of birth." From there, the problem escalated into a stupid act by the cop - both immature participants were white. [There were some political overtones, such as the name calling by the reporting neighbor who had allegedly been yelling from the bushes.]

Maureen Dowd's column in the New York Times fairly summarizes my views of the Gates situation. Although the races were different, the attitudes were about the same. This type of thing seems to happen a lot, and it's not racial, although in that case the anger came out in racial tones - we all have our hot buttons.

A few years ago, I was stopped by a CHP officer for using the shoulder to go around a truck that was stuck trying to access a freeway where all the traffic was stopped for construction. I had seen the officer in my rear view mirror as I avoided the truck and knew I was doing nothing wrong.

He was angry that I had gone around the truck, and argumentative - I tried to suggest he had discretion not to issue the ticket, rather than trying to argue the law, but that seemed to make him more determined: "I use those shoulders", he responded, as though what I had done could have endangered him had he been giving a ticket. I sucked it up, politely accepted the ticket, and set the case for trial.

At trial, the same jackbooted officer [a motorcycle cop] arrived loaded for bear. I presented the judge the statute that allowed what I had done. The officer was rabid in his defense of his action, and amateurish in his rejection of the statute - adamant that it couldn't mean what it said - perhaps a part-time night school law student. He couldn't allow me to have the last word, acting as a bad prosecutor over and over again, firmly committed to the idea that he was right. I was acquitted, and was he angry. I fear running into him again. Maybe he had a friend killed during a traffic stop on a shoulder, and that was a hot ticket item for him - from my standpoint, he merely looked foolish and wasted a fair amount of my time.

I've known a number of police officers well, and the overwhelming majority would never have acted as he did, never have wrestled a middle aged white woman to the ground in her own home, or handcuffed a middle aged professor with a limp simply because he was angry and yelling at them. Let's not make this a national issue, when we have a health insurance crisis, two major wars, and an economic catastrophe to occupy our minds. It's just two testosterone driven people who pushed one another's buttons.

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July 24, 2009

KGTV, Crappy Reporting, and Family Law Experts...

Last week, I bemoaned the hit piece by a local TV station's amateur reporter, Lauren Reynolds of KGTV, the San Diego ABC-TV affiliate.

Well, one of my colleagues tried to set the record straight. Last week she sent the vice president of the station a lengthy rebuttal to the biased report, including readily available public information, copies of publications, and written statements from witnesses.

An apology? A retraction? Nope! Seems the station acknowledges there is a difference of opinion, is sticking by its report, and not telling the other side of the story. Since I now know what they claim is journalism lacks integrity, I won't be watching the news there any longer. Sorry Charley [Gibson], but you're off my list of favorites, along with your cohorts.

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July 16, 2009

Divorce in San Diego, Hiring Experts, Custody Disputes, and KGTV.......

Currently in San Diego, there has been a flurry of stories, e-mails, telephone calls, and gossip, relating to a well-known and well-respected psychotherapist who has been sued by a person who apparently didn't look too good in the doctor's evaluation in a custody case. In general, lawyers and therapists in the family law community are outraged that the doctor, who on advice of counsel is saying nothing, has been tarred by a member of the media based on the ravings of a losing litigant in a custody dispute [like you'd expect the loser to be rational on the subject].

The reporter for KGTV in San Diego never bothered to discuss the case with well respected experts in the field before doing a hit piece on television, or at least didn't quote them - to compound the problem, a local "dog trainer" ran a similar story containing massive amounts of misrepresentations because its "reporter" only listened to one side of the case. They obviously didn't care how experts are chosen and what is important - I can attest to the fact their resumes are largely irrelevant.

I have never used this particular therapist to do evaluations in any of my cases, although I believe he had been appointed to treat some of the children over the years. I have known him only by reputation and an occasional brief conversation at one Bar function or another over the last 25 years - I doubt I have had a total of an hour of discussion with him in that period - we have no personal relationship, but I have a great deal of empathy for him and his position at this stage of an illustrious career. I can add my 3 decades of experience to help non-lawyers understand the situation.

Allegedly, there are several minor misstatements claimed in his 5 page resume - I checked several of the claims against a 3 year old resume of the doctor I received at a seminar where he spoke - I couldn't find that he'd made the claims I checked, let alone that he was wrong, or lying. He has no need to pad out the resume. The "investigation" shows he is not a member of a couple of organizations with names similar to those he has listed, but obviously not the same.

Some local TV reporter [a field populated by those whose primary qualifications relate to which makeup counter at Nordstrom they frequent, and I've know quite a few] has chosen to listen to a few disgruntled litigants, rather than the lawyers and judges who rely on his reports year after year to ferret out the ferrets in our cases, hopefully so that children will be protected, or even just grow up happier. Neither reporter bothered to speak to legitimate sources for their opinions of the dispute, just a handful of the parents he has examined and treated. Typical slash and burn, leaving wreckage in their wake.

I have a few stories that come to mind as a result of this story. In one, a friend was sued after being appointed by the court as the children's attorney - the lawyer recommended more time to one parent - the other sued "on behalf of the children" claiming the lawyer had committed legal malpractice in reaching the conclusion - that parent tried to be in charge of their case, although they lived with the other. The case went nowhere, but the lawyer had to pay an insurance deductible and sit back and worry for months until the case was dismissed - this lawyer had been a valuable resource to the courts for years, but as a result decided there was no upside to continuing to be paid to act as minor's counsel [often at $60 per hour by the court, which doesn't cover overhead], and hasn't done it since. Novel legal theory, but really just the ravings of a dissatisfied parent.

A second friend was a therapist for young children whose parents were trapped in a custody battle. During therapy, the children asked that the therapist to do something to protect them from their father - a declaration was written to be used to gain some protection while the court sorted out the issue. Probably at the instigation of his lawyer [affectionately known by some as "The Dick", and described by others as "soulless"] the father, after losing the custody dispute, tried to have the therapist's license to practice suspended. After thousands of dollars in defense, the therapist was vindicated, but remains gun shy whenever the thought of being involved in the court process comes up. When we try to find therapists for children in custody cases, the vast majority refuse if there is any chance they may be required to testify - a huge loss to the public, and the courts.

The third case is the other side of the coin. A client came to see me on referral from a friend/lawyer who felt the case was too hotly contested and that the client needed someone stronger than she wanted to be. The first thing I did was tell the client he didn't present well [a euphemism for a bad personality] - at my direction, he sought counseling with a therapist I recommended. Over a period of several months, he changed when he realized how others saw him. He went from a 20% time share to primary care - not by suing the prior therapist in the case, but by recognizing that he had some impact on how he was perceived. When the case ended, I got a note from him that I had changed his life - I was shocked, as I had done so little - he had changed his own life, I just confronted him on his conduct.

Fathers in custody cases generally fare more poorly than mothers. It's not that they are bad parents, it's primarily that they were less involved when the family was intact - the courts generally end up preserving the status quo, which means that the mother generally ends up with more time. Some fathers resent that outcome, but it is predictable based on their role during the marriage. Some are just bad parents [there are a lot of mothers who are just as bad]. Some lawyers exploit the fathers' resentment, without trying to explain why there appears to be prejudice, and what can be done to overcome it [which may take a few years of changed conduct].

We need to understand that the courts have insufficient resources to resolve complicated custody disputes. As a long time judge has said "I don't get paid to make the right decision, I just get paid for making decisions." They need therapists and lawyers willing to take on these cases to give them guidance, without fear that the media will listen to the disgruntled loser and fail to present a balanced view of the issue.

In the case in the news, the court didn't help: It's response was that judges don't check out the resumes or credentials, they rely on the lawyers to do so.

I regularly pick experts for custody evaluations, therapists, appraisers, income analyzers, etc. - I rarely even see their resume, and generally don't care what is on it - I rely on the advice of friends and colleagues, and my own experience using or watching them. Are they pretty consistent in their opinions? Can they support their positions if they are called to the witness stand without folding up under cross examination? How much do they charge? Do they prepare reports in a timely fashion? Do they consistently view the world from a biased perspective [such as routinely siding with mothers or fathers, for example]? Are they well respected by other lawyers and judges, so their reports help settle cases?

The resume? I only care about it if the expert is on my side and I need to qualify him or her as an expert at trial. Do I care whether someone listed himself as a "Fellow" of an organization, when in reality he was a "Diplomat" because that is the label it puts on its members, or that he says he was a member of an organization 10 years ago, but isn't paying dues any longer or otherwise lost interest? Do I care whether an organization to which he belongs has any standards? NOPE! I just want him to do a good job. And, I have no way of checking out the organizations to know whether they exists or have any requirements of membership.

I acknowledge that about 10 years ago a "therapist" was exposed for lacking an important certification and degree when someone pinned her down during cross-examination, and everyone was shocked. The person had started out providing a service, and somewhere along the line a few lawyers started asking for reports - although not qualified to write them, they were written until a diligent lawyer tried to determine whether she was even licensed to do the work she had taken on. That is hardly the case here - the therapist in the news has been well tested on the witness stand by the best, many times, and always comes out unscathed.

We need a free press, but it needs to be responsible or it is useless. Here, it has done some real damage to the future of child custody litigation. KGTV owes an apology to the public, the courts, and the therapist for shoddy reporting, yet its reporter is sticking by the story she told solely through the mouths of troubled people, while doing an inadequate job of confirming the allegations she reported.

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July 4, 2009

Divorce in San Diego & Health Insurance....

As we form our political and social views we are, of necessity, influenced by our personal experience. Those of us with money or jobs tend to have had health insurance all of our lives - in the family in which I grew up, not having coverage was unthinkable. In business, health insurance was historically a way of rewarding employees, keeping employees, ensuring a healthy, productive, and secure work force, and helping them keep their minds on work rather than the health of them and their family members. I can't imaging not having coverage, and not offering it to my employees.

I provide health insurance for my staff for all these reasons - on the one hand, it gives me an advantage over my competitors who don't offer the benefit - of greater importance to me is that people I care about don't feel they cannot go to the doctor when they have some minor problem [like a chest pain] out of fear of the cost of an office visit.

And, I don't want them to worry that their children might get sick, and they can't afford to care for them. But more than health care affecting me as an employer, as a Family Law lawyer it affects my clients every day and creates problems for many with which we must deal.

Each week, in one case or another, this is an issue we face. Sometimes it is as "simple" as trying to convince a client he or she needs to make insurance a higher priority, or guiding the client in a job search to a profession where it is routinely provided by employers [large companies, public agencies, etc.] Of greater difficulty is explaining to the soon-to-be ex-spouse that health insurance will soon run out, or may be extended for a number of months at a high rate. Lately, the job choice doesn't exist.

Commonly known as COBRA rights, many larger employers are required by state or Federal law to extend benefits to former employees or their former spouses as an extension of their prior policy. The COBRA cost is supposedly approximately equal to the regular cost of coverage [without subsidies, plus a small handling charge]. Sounds like a good deal? Last month I saw my first quote that caused me pause: My client's ex-wife would be paying more than $750 per month to keep her existing coverage after the divorce - she is in her 40's - that sum is not within her budget, but pre-existing conditions also keep her out of the market for a policy on her own.

Continue reading "Divorce in San Diego & Health Insurance...." »

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June 15, 2009

Rancho Santa Fe, Divorce, and Google: Too Much Information....

Yesterday, I was responding to an e-mail from a friend I lost touch with many decades ago - she had written for guidance with respect to a couple of attorneys to whom she had been referred for a civil matter in San Diego, although she now lives out of state.  In the process of catching up, I was telling her my typical Sunday a.m. was to watch hours of the morning news shows, and trying to devour the NY Times Sunday edition.

Her response was that she didn't watch the shows because they gave her too much depressing information.  There really is almost too much information available to us because of the explosion of media, including the Internet, and we must question whether we really need or even want it all.

I have an office in Rancho Santa Fe, practice family law [including divorce], and serve on a public advisory body for planning and zoning centered around that community.  So, I have a daily Google search to send me any information relating to RSF and Divorce, in particular.  Google allows us to set up such searches to run at regular intervals [even hourly], so we don't miss anything.  I suppose if I were a quilter in Carlsbad, I could find out any news stories or blogs relating to "Carlsbad and quilts" so that I might learn of a new quilting store or gallery in the neighborhood.

It's amazing how many stories hit each day with my search.  The cryptic blurb I get from Google is to entice me to link to the underlying story.  What I normally receive is...

Continue reading "Rancho Santa Fe, Divorce, and Google: Too Much Information...." »

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April 1, 2009

Misconduct, Lying in Court, and Values...

We've been through a decade where we've been persuaded that the ends justify the means - whether its huge commissions for selling investments that are little more than gambling, torture to spread fear, or lying to preserve power, the key lesson we've been taught is that we can do whatever we want, without consequences, as long as it feels good.  Those who preached values seemed to have forgotten that greed, injustice, and tyranny aren't justified just because we want to accomplish a particular goal.

The biggest shocker in today's news is a decision by the US Justice Department to drop its prosecution of Ted Stevens, the corrupt ex-Senator from Alaska ["It's a series of tubes" - the moronic statement about the Internet, made in support of one of his biggest sources of contributions, the communications industry - but I digress].  

The decision was the result of prosecutorial misconduct by the Justice Department under the last administration - the new Attorney General has decided the problem is so great, further efforts to defend the government's position is not a worthwhile effort.  That's sad.  Tthe case against the defendant was so clear, it is hard to believe the prosecutors thought they had to lie and cheat to get a conviction.

Major misconduct by Stevens [having a building contractor build a $250,000 addition to his house without charge - Steven's defense:  "I forgot"], resulted in fairly a minor charge of failing to disclose the gift on forms designed to disclose such things.  Politicians are usually bought pretty cheaply - this wasn't cheap, and pretty serious misconduct in benefitting from his position.  We should have more stringent rules prohibiting our leaders from financially benefitting from their positions, whether by being given huge gifts, being given huge campaign contributions [or orchestrating gifts by others], or being given access to successful investments with those seeking influence.  In a culture where politicians are usually bought on the cheap, the gifts to Stevens were huge, directly personal, and hidden from the voters.

At least with Stevens, his secrets are out and his political career ruined [until he can reinvent himself as an innocent victim].  Fortunately, he can't argue that Democrats unfairly targeted him, a Republican, for political reasons - his own served him up.  The Justice Department that pursued him was staffed with political ideologues, often chosen for their political leanings rather than their ethics or skills.

We can hope the lesson learned is that we need to choose our leaders more wisely, and control their power no matter which side they are on.  

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March 20, 2009

Getting Rid of Marriage - Another Shot at Gay Marriage

According to this article, we may need to endure another round of efforts to permit gay marriage - all they need is 700,000 signatures to put this on the ballot.  This reports a new petition circulating for a proposed proposition - the proposal is to remove the word "marriage" from the California Constitution and replacing it with "domestic partnership."  The goal is to return the word to religious organizations, and leave the secular with the generic phrase to describe civil unions.

I predict another very close vote, dependent on who shows up to vote and how much Mormons and dentists [go see how many dentists in your neighborhood contributed to defeat Prop. 8] are willing to spend to defeat gay marriage in this state.

Maybe it's time to re-think the whole idea of citizen generated propositions that change the state's constitution with a simple majority vote of those who show up at any given election.  We tend to think that our constitutions should take more effort and more support to make changes.
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March 17, 2009

Ben Bernanke, the Economy, and Where We Are Going...

60 minutes on Sunday had a long interview with Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve.  I recommend that everyone watch to see his perspective on our present financial situation.  Clicking here will take you to a website that should have his interview in a few days.

He has a unique perspective.  I understand better what has been done by the Fed in the last year, and a little more optimistic about our economy's future.  He actually seems to understand what is going on, and what needs to be done.  The key phrase I took from the program was his comment that we need the political will to do the things that are necessary.

I won't make this political, as the blog is designed primarily for family law and related issues.  I just think it is significant that he is the first Fed chairman to sit for an interview it its 100 year history.  He felt people need to know what is happening, and what is being done and why, in order to feel more confident.  I feel I have a better understanding having seen the show.
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March 10, 2009

Tax Rates, Hedge Funds, Loss of the Middle Class, Madoff...

This morning, on MSNBC's Morning Joe, one regular pointed to a front page article on a daily newspaper today about the unfair tax rates for hedge fund managers.  I remembered reading about this years ago.  This is the type of problem causing the disappearance of the middle class, and the increasing gap between rich and poor.

Even Joe Scarborough remarked today that the rich never came to him when he was in Congress asking for tax breaks, because they had mechanisms for paying low taxes [not really an accurate statement about many of the rich, but it was interesting to hear a true Conservative make the admission].  The reality is the Sam Walton children, already four of the richest 10 people in the world [his widow a fifth], have spent millions buying politicians to get rid of the estate tax so that endless generations of Waltons will never have to work again - I'd heard estimates of $160,000,000 paid out in political contributions by the family primarily for that purpose.

The point of the story is that hedge fund managers pay capital gains rates on millions of dollars of ordinary income - while the rest of us who work for a living struggle on.  This is the worst example of the Warren Buffet point that his secretary pays higher tax rates than he, the richest man in America.

The rich are different:  Even Bernie Madoff may be kept out of jail and be allowed to preserve millions of his assets while he explains how he stole $50 billion, although his wife claims the millions she has are somehow unrelated to the fraud - oh yeah, right.  The guy belongs in jail now - as an economic terrorist, maybe Obama should send him to Gitmo for it's last days - maybe let Blackwater interrogate him to find out where the money went.

Enough of a rant for today.  I shouldn't let them get me started.
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March 8, 2009

Witnesses, 60 Minutes, Picking Cotton, Reliability....

In a prior post, I wrote of Leslie Stahl's upcoming story scheduled to appear tonight on CBS's 60 Minutes about the inaccuracy and undependability of eye witness testimony.

The piece was as good, and important, as predicted, but focused primarily on one unique case that resulted in a book called Picking Cotton.  The title comes from a rape, where the eye witness clearly, positively, and erroneously identified Bobby Cotton as her rapist - it was written by the victim and Cotton, who became friends many years after his conviction.  The conviction was eventually overturned when DNA evidence identified a look alike, who had gone on the rape other woman after Cotton was wrongfully convicted.  He served more than a decade in prison for the crime.

The story was moving, both from the standpoint of the years Cotton spent in prison and from  his co-author.  They frequently speak to groups about the errors of eye witness testimony.  As much as anything else, this story suggests the need for education of the public, and reform of the system.  I haven't read the book, and can't recommend it for that reason, but the story is important to hear. [The Amazon rating is 4 1/2 stars, however]

Podcasts of 60 Minutes episodes appear to be available here.  For non-techies, this means you can download using programs such as iTunes.
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February 24, 2009

Big Problems, Big Solutions....We Need True Americans....

David Brooks, in his New York Times opinion piece today, argues that the Obama administration is trying to solve too many problems at once, a Herculean task doomed to failure in his opinion.  

I started writing this piece before the president's address to congress, and I'm finishing this as he ends.  Irrespective of your politics, you have to admit this guy can make us feel good about being an American, and makes you feel that he understands the magnitude of our many problems.  

Whether he, his cabinet, and Congress can come together with appropriate solutions is another matter.  True Americans need to put their differences aside, join together, and contribute to the solution.  This is not a time for ideology, party, or campaign rhetoric - it is a time for ideas, and the recognition that we have major problems we cannot pass on to our children and grandchildren, unless we also pass on the ability to solve them.  


Continue reading "Big Problems, Big Solutions....We Need True Americans...." »

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February 21, 2009

Divorce Lawyers, Taxes, Jobs, and Self Employment....

I am self employed.  I have employees.  To keep an experienced, cohesive unit for the next upswing, paying them comes first.  If there is money left over after paying the expenses, I get paid.  I hire enough staff to handle the business I have. If I make a profit, I pay income taxes - the lower my tax rate, the more I have to spend on myself.  

Conservatives have argued for 3 decades that cutting taxes is the solution to everything from unemployment to bunions - at one point, they argued that we needed to lower taxes because we were paying off the national debt too fast, and that was supposed to be a bad thing [that was during the Clinton administration].  As a life long Republican, they lost me on that one - I thought we were only supposed to have debt to fund defense or stimulate the economy, otherwise it was good to get rid of it.

If I hear one more politician claim that cutting taxes results in employers creating jobs, I may climb a watch tower and start picking off people.  Cut General Motors' corporate taxes?  How many jobs does that create?  [Oh, right, it's broke so it doesn't pay any]  Cut Jay Leno's taxes, and he buys more antique cars, not hire more employees for the Tonight Show.

Cut my taxes, I don't create any jobs.  Maybe I'll buy an Italian suit, a Toyota, a Sony widescreen, or go to Europe for two weeks.  If I made a lot of money, cutting my taxes might cause me to buy a $500,000 yacht, a Ferrari, or a villa in Tuscany.  Not too many jobs created in this country, even incidentally, from those purchases.  If my taxes are cut, any jobs I help create are incidental and accidental.

Give me more clients who can afford to pay my retainer, and I just might have to expand my staff to handle the work.  If there are no new clients, I don't make a profit, so cutting my taxes doesn't help anyone - no profit, no taxes -  basic rule of economics.  Give me customers with money, and I'll figure out how many people to hire.  If there's profit, I'll pay the taxes and spend [or invest or save] the excess.  

How the right wing of my party has convinced so many people to the contrary is beyond me. It's become a bromide of "truthiness."  Educate children and take care of their health - somewhere down the road, they will make good, productive employees who will stimulate the economy, as I did.  Fix health care so I can continue to provide good health care to my employees.  Extend unemployment compensation when there are no jobs - the money gets spent at the gas station, McDonald's, pays rent locally, groceries, and generates more jobs - in most cases, the money gets spent as soon as it's collected, so it improves the business of others - they in turn can improve the business of others, and so on.

Put more cash in at the top, and it sits there.  Give Ted Turner another $1,000,000, and he'll buy more acreage - how does that stimulate anything other than a warm feeling for Ted?  Enough of Voodoo Economics.  Let's get real, and get this economy going.

One other little tidbit:  There's a commercial running that tries to put government expenditures into perspective:  It claims the bailout is the equivalent of spending $1 million dollars a day since the birth of Christ - sure sound's like a big number.  Here's another way of looking at it.  Congress just approved an $800 billion dollar bailout.  Yes that is a lot of money too, but it's barely twice the market capitalization of Exxon-Mobil.  The stimulus package costs twice the worth of a single US company - maybe not such a bad investment if you look at it in those terms.  And Exxon isn't the most valuable, it's just one I looked at out of curiosity.

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February 20, 2009

Idiots, Home Loans, Foreclosures, and a Rescue Plan....

David Brooks' editorial today in the New York Times puts in perspective a problem we face with a rescue plan for poor planning.  From a conservative's standpoint, he explains why we need to fix the problem of excessive loans on undervalued houses using measures we might find unpalatable.  I suggest everyone read it.  Brooks is a conservative columnist; generally, I find Paul Krugman more realistic, but Brooks makes a good point.

While the magnitude of the problems our nation faces has come upon us more quickly than in prior recessions, we are repeating patterns that we have seen before.  The last cycle's bottom was the early 1990's.  What we are repeating is housing prices dropping after a bubble had run them to astronomical levels - the difference is that during that recession everyone had hope at each stage that we were at the bottom - it never felt so hopeless.  I bought my office in 1991 at what my co-buyers and I assumed was the bottom of the market - the actual bottom was about 4 years away at that point.

Our problems are what to do in a falling market.  In a divorce practice, we see these problems repeated on a daily basis with our clients and their spouses.  This time, there are complicating factors because of the magnitude of the bubble, and the ease with which large mortgages were created.  Generally, the parties fall into one of a number of categories:

Sometimes it's a couple who spent heavily throughout this century, as they were taught to believe they were entitled, borrowing "equity" they thought they had in their homes to fund their lifestyles:  A new Harley, a cruise to Europe, a ski condo in the mountains, a Hummer, a solid gold Rolex.  Now, getting divorced, the equity is gone, the lifestyle abruptly ending, and they can't sell their homes for what they owe.  Neither can keep the house alone, because they were dependent on two incomes, business is down, or unemployment intervenes.

On the other hand, we have those who finally bought into the housing market in 2005, anxious to buy something before they could no longer afford to do so.  Maybe they borrowed against a 401k, borrowed from parents, or paid the down payment with credit card advances.  Stretched financially, they felt they had no other choice, as prices had escalated dramatically.  These have been periodic cycles, where there is such urgency that you can't buy fast enough; next week the house will be gone, and a worse house will cost substantially more.

Then there are those who filled out loan applications with data that was unrelated to reality:  Puffing values, and overstating income.  Lenders were making loans to people who weren't qualified because the loan brokers made huge commissions, and Wall Street was willing to package the loans and sell them off in slices barely short of gambling.  These people could not afford the house under any traditional measure - any financial strain caused the house of cards to collapse.

Finally, there are the couples who bought a house years ago that they could afford, kept it for years, never refinanced as it went up in value, and still have quite a bit of equity left over.  Maybe they realized that those tempting refinances didn't really borrow out equity, they just caused their debt to increase.  These are the few lucky ones.  Some equity and credit intact to be able to go out and pick up a bargain when the market gets lower.  In my practice, they are the minority, by a wide margin.  

We all want our own home, our territory we can mark where we have some degree of freedom to be ourselves and entertain family and friends.  Some approach this with greater maturity than others.

As a society, we need to make decisions about how to solve the problems this situation has created for all of us.  If we lower the loans to match the value of the houses, the immature bear no burden for their conduct.  When prices eventually stabilize or go back up, do we reward them with the profit?  Is that fair to the rest of us, especially where we paid for their ability to keep the house in some way or another - higher taxes and interest rates, for example.  Or do we just pay the price by teaching people they can be rewarded for their screw ups.

These are not simple issues to deal with.  Maybe this time some idiots win.  To the extent we have little choice, Brooks is right, this is something we just need to do.  

We can't simply say that we are rewarding people for their mistakes - George Bush already did that in throwing money at Wall Street and the banks with no oversight - we are protecting the rest of us from the mistakes of others.  We cannot allow our families and friends to lose their jobs with no prospects for employment, and we cannot allow our banks to fail.  We have two severe recessions to serve as examples:  The U.S. Great Depression of 80 years ago, and the Japanese' experience at the end of the last century.  Doing too little is the risk - if we err, it needs to be on the side of too much.

My hope is that someone comes up with a way of making this seem more fair to the rest of us.  If the government endorses a method of reducing loans to equal present value, or lenders forgive some of the debt to avoid foreclosure, there should be a way we share in any subsequent increase in value.  Perhaps heavily taxing any subsequent profit if the house sells, rather than the present practice of allowing large profits to be collected tax free when they sell.

I don't pretend I have the answers, but some group of smart people must be able to come up with useful alternatives.  Both extremes in the debate need to put aside ideology and solve these problems.  Otherwise, we are all lost.






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